Unión Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.12
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Long passes
38% (23/60)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
65% (99/152)60% (41/68)
Crosses
36% (14/39)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.38
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
912
Tackles
55% (6/11)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1247
Interceptions
618
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.121.17
Goals prevented
-0.880.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Martinez E. , Schelotto N. (A),
  • 26', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 28', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Max A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 64', Vargas L. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 64', Colazo A. , Estigarribia M. ,
  • 64', Martinez M. , Solari A. ,
  • 67', Merlini B. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 67', Piedrahita A. , Merlo J. ,
  • 77', Palacios J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 83', Schelotto N. 🟨,
  • 84', Fascendini V. 🟨,
  • 86', Schelotto N. , German Conti ,
  • 86', Panaro M. , Briasco N. ,
  • 90+1', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 90+2', Insfran N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
53.2%
Draw
28.3%
Gimnasia La Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 29.8% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.5% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2)
    3.36
    (3.14)
    5.02
    (4)
    4.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Unión (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Unión won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 1:3
    01.03.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    28.10.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    04.06.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield1677218:12628
    4Talleres Cordoba1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Instituto1663717:17021
    10Defensa y Justicia1647518:21-319
    11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:22-819
    12Platense1637610:15-516
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:151434
    2River Plate1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central1684420:16428
    5Belgrano1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)