Unión Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.12
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Long passes
38% (23/60)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
65% (99/152)60% (41/68)
Crosses
36% (14/39)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.38
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
912
Tackles
55% (6/11)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1247
Interceptions
618
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.121.17
Goals prevented
-0.880.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Martinez E. , Schelotto N. (A),
  • 26', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 28', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Max A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 64', Vargas L. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 64', Colazo A. , Estigarribia M. ,
  • 64', Martinez M. , Solari A. ,
  • 67', Merlini B. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 67', Piedrahita A. , Merlo J. ,
  • 77', Palacios J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 83', Schelotto N. 🟨,
  • 84', Fascendini V. 🟨,
  • 86', Schelotto N. , German Conti ,
  • 86', Panaro M. , Briasco N. ,
  • 90+1', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 90+2', Insfran N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
53.2%
Draw
28.3%
Gimnasia La Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 29.8% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.5% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2)
    3.36
    (3.14)
    5.02
    (4)
    4.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Unión (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Unión won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 1:3
    01.03.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    28.10.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    04.06.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)