Result
1:1
31/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (297/383) | 78% (243/310) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (297/383) | 78% (243/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 53% (34/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (67/116) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Alfonso E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 61', Arrua C. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
- 71', Alfonso E. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
- 71', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 72', Espinola A. ↓, Davalos Valdez V. ↑,
- 74', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 74', Valdez I. ↓, Benitez H. A. ↑,
- 82', Colman Escobar D. J. 🟨,
- 83', Castro C. ↓, Coronel U. ↑,
- 83', Gonzales L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Bailone I. ⚽, Samudio A. (A),
- 88', Farina A. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 90+3', Benitez H. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo
26.5% | Draw
30% | Nacional Asuncion
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(3.31) |
3.1 ↑
(3.05) |
2.18 ↓
(2.2) |
6.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- 2 de Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, 2 de Mayo has had a series of away games.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Nacional Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
31.01.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
5:1
17.10.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
02.08.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
06.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:0
25.01.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
