Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Honduras | Deportes TV | 
|  North-central-america | Centro America TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 3 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 3 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨, 
- 24', 1 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽, 
- 42', Vega L. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Zapata R. ↓, Mejia C. ↑, 
- 63', Cabrera M. ↓, Melendez D. ↑, 
- 64', Gomez R. 🟨, 
- 65', Aguilera J. 🟨, 
- 70', Ramirez D. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑, 
- 70', Castillo R. ↓, Bueso J. ↑, 
- 73', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑, 
- 76', John Kleber 🟨, 
- 89', Gomez R. ↓, Melendez L. ↑, 
- 89', Santamaria L. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑, 
- 90', Messiniti N. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑, 
- 90', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Orellana A. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | CD Marathón 44.7%
 | Draw 30.5%
 | Motagua 24.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        CD Marathón - Motagua Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.07 ↑ (1.75)
 | 3.04 ↓ (3.45)
 | 3.72 ↓ (4.22)
 | 8.1% (9.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 2.
- Marathón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Motagua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Motagua?
                    
                    
                        
                            CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against CD Marathón?
                    
                    
                        
                             Motagua has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Motagua were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.08.2025 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Motagua 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.01.2025 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.11.2024 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Motagua 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.09.2024 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of CD Marathón                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Motagua                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 | 
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 | 
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 | 
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 | 
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 | 
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 | 
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 | 
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )