New York Red Bulls vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
4:2
04/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.802.05
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
66
Big chances
26
Corner kicks
26
Passes
85% (435/512)82% (385/470)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.802.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.73
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
68
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
915
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
26
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
3834
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1112
Passes
85% (435/512)82% (385/470)
Long passes
54% (21/39)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
78% (158/202)70% (81/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.041.48
Throw ins
1120
Fouls
1211
Tackles
56% (10/18)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4451
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.731.57
Goals prevented
-0.27-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bucha P. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
  • 37', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽,
  • 58', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 67', Gidi S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
  • 70', Cowell C. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
  • 70', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Smith K. ⚽,
  • 75', Barlow T. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
  • 75', Smith K. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
  • 75', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
  • 80', Mehmeti A. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
  • 80', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
  • 80', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 83', Valencia O. 🟨,
  • 84', Miazga M. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
  • 86', Forsberg E. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Sofo M. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
  • 90+5', Powell A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
49.2%		Draw
24.3%		Cincinnati
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 25.4% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↓
    (2)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.7)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.46)    		 5.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • NY Red Bulls is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati were as follows:
    04.10.2025 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 0:1
    22.02.2025 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    20.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 3:1
    06.04.2024 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:2
    04.11.2023 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    21.03.2026 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 6:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 0:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 1:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    22.03.2026 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:3 ✺
    19.03.2026 Tigres UANL - Cincinnati 5:1 ✺
    15.03.2026 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 6:1 ✺
    12.03.2026 Cincinnati - Tigres UANL 3:0 ✺
    08.03.2026 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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