New York Red Bulls vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

MLS
Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.09
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Passes
87% (551/632)	78% (286/365)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	0.21
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Touches in opposition box
42	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
4	9
Passes
87% (551/632)	78% (286/365)
Long passes
47% (16/34)	33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
76% (173/228)	56% (29/52)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.30	0.63
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
9	4
Tackles
75% (9/12)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
34	41
Clearances
8	48
Interceptions
13	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.21	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.79	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Brenner (A),
32', Denkey K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gjengaar D. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
58', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
58', Donkor R. 🟨,
67', Brenner ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
67', Nealis D. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
67', Berggren G. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
81', Denkey K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
81', Morales M. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
81', Echenique E. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
86', Orellano L. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
86', Evander ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
90+2', Parker T. 🟨,
90+4', Hack A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
38%

Draw
25.2%

Cincinnati
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.29)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)	2.61 ↓ (2.75)	5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
NY Red Bulls is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Ankle Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Celentano R. (Leg Injury) Miazga M. (Leg Injury) Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Cincinnati?

New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York Red Bulls?

Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati were as follows:

22.02.2025 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:0

20.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 3:1

06.04.2024 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:2

04.11.2023 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 1:2

29.10.2023 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 3:0

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

27.09.2025 New York Red Bulls - New York City 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Portland Timbers - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

28.09.2025 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati 2:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Cincinnati - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	33	18	6	9	60:41	19	60
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	32	17	9	6	63:35	28	60
3	Minnesota United ✔	33	16	10	7	55:37	18	58
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	31	16	8	7	61:37	24	56
5	Seattle Sounders ✔	32	13	10	9	55:47	8	49
6	Austin FC	32	12	8	12	35:43	-8	44
7	Portland Timbers	33	11	11	11	41:44	-3	44
8	FC Dallas	32	10	11	11	49:52	-3	41
9	Real Salt Lake	32	12	4	16	36:46	-10	40
10	Colorado Rapids	33	11	7	15	42:54	-12	40
11	San Jose Earthquakes	33	10	8	15	58:62	-4	38
12	Houston Dynamo	33	9	9	15	43:56	-13	36
13	St. Louis City	33	8	7	18	42:56	-14	31
14	Sporting Kansas City	33	7	6	20	46:70	-24	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	5	9	18	42:64	-22	24

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	33	20	6	7	57:33	24	66
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	33	19	5	9	49:40	9	62
3	Inter Miami ✔	32	17	8	7	72:53	19	59
4	Charlotte ✔	33	18	2	13	53:46	7	56
5	New York City ✔	33	17	5	11	49:42	7	56
6	Nashville SC	33	16	6	11	56:40	16	54
7	Orlando City	32	14	11	7	60:45	15	53
8	Chicago Fire	33	15	7	11	66:58	8	52
9	Columbus Crew	33	13	12	8	52:50	2	51
10	New York Red Bulls	33	12	7	14	47:44	3	43
11	New England Revolution	33	9	8	16	42:49	-7	35
12	Toronto FC	32	5	14	13	33:40	-7	29
13	CF Montreal	33	6	10	17	34:57	-23	28
14	Atlanta Utd	32	5	12	15	37:58	-21	27
15	DC United	33	5	10	18	29:65	-36	25

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)