Los Angeles vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.75
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
74% (316/429)75% (320/427)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.34
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2630
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
74% (316/429)75% (320/427)
Long passes
44% (31/70)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
67% (88/131)62% (77/125)
Crosses
7% (1/14)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.81
Fouls
1212
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5465
Clearances Total
3923
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.341.81
Goals prevented
0.34-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 42', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 0, Palencia S. , Bouanga D. (A),
  • 67', Chanot M. , Marlon ,
  • 67', Ordaz N. , Under C. ,
  • 68', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 68', Tsakiris N. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 75', Leroux B. , Bouda O. ,
  • 75', Rodrigues , Munie D. ,
  • 83', Delgado M. , Tillman T. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Bouanga D. , Giroud O. (A),
  • 89', Giroud O. , Wibowo A. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Espinoza C. , Martinez J. (A),
  • 90+6', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles
56.8%
Draw
22.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 20.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 20.3% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles's form might have worsened.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.52)
    4.21
    (4.57)
    4.65
    (5.86)
    4.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 60%). San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Jose (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 3.
    • Recent matches Los Angeles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • San Jose is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Jose could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Los Angeles have a series of guest games.
    • Recently San Jose have a series of home games.
    • In this match Los Angeles is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Fernandez N. (Inactive) Kikanovic B. (Lower-Body Injury) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 52:30 (average 2.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Los Angeles won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 37:13 (average 3.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 3:1
    13.08.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    22.06.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 6:2
    04.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles 3:1
    08.07.2023 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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