Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
South-korea | Coupang Play, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (567/637) | 84% (410/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (567/637) | 84% (410/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (123/162) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
- 15', Vazquez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Terry J. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
- 46', Ordaz N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 59', Nielsen K. 🟨,
- 60', Raposo R. ↓, Son Heung-Min ↑,
- 67', Pellegrino A. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
- 67', Bombino L. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
- 73', Ebobisse J. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
- 73', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 78', Godoy A. 🟨,
- 79', Eustaquio S. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Bouanga D. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
- 83', Vazquez D. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
- 89', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
- 90', Bouanga D. 🟨,
- 90+8', dos Santos C. J. ↓, Ferree D. ↑,
- 90+9', Nielsen K. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
- 90+14', 2 - 2, Hollingshead R. ⚽, Choiniere M. (A),
Chances of winning
San Diego 37.9% | Draw 24.9% | Los Angeles 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for San Diego aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
San Diego - Los Angeles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↓ (2.52) |
3.82 ↑ (3.52) |
2.56 ↑ (2.52) |
5.3% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Los Angeles?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 16.1% – 74.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Diego is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Los Angeles has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in San Diego: Bombino L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sisniega P.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Los Angeles: Boudri A.
(Leg Injury)
Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Igor Jesus
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Los Angeles?
San Diego has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles won against San Diego?
Los Angeles has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Los Angeles were as follows:
31.08.2025
Los Angeles
-
San Diego
1:2
29.03.2025
San Diego
-
Los Angeles
3:2
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Los Angeles
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)