Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
54.1%
Draw
25.4%
Valencia
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 27.9% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.84)
    3.77
    (3.57)
    4.66
    (4.36)
    4.3%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Valencia were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0
    18.05.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    28.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Valencia 1:0
    20.01.2024 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Valencia
    25.04.2026 Valencia - Girona 2:1
    21.04.2026 Mallorca - Valencia 1:1
    11.04.2026 Elche - Valencia 1:0
    05.04.2026 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 34291489:315888
    2Real Madrid ✔ 34245570:313977
    3Villarreal ✔ 34215864:392568
    4Atl. Madrid34196958:372163
    5Betis341314752:411153
    6Celta Vigo3412111148:44447
    7Getafe341351628:36-844
    8Ath Bilbao341351640:50-1044
    9Real Sociedad3311101252:52043
    10Osasuna341191440:42-242
    11Rayo Vallecano3410121235:41-642
    12Valencia341091537:50-1339
    13Espanyol341091537:51-1439
    14Elche349111445:53-838
    15Mallorca341081642:51-938
    16Girona349111436:51-1538
    17Alaves34991640:53-1336
    18Sevilla33971740:55-1534
    19Levante34891738:55-1733
    20Oviedo346101826:54-2828

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )