Result
2:3
15/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Ntamba M. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
33.6% | Draw
32.5% | Muranga Seal
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Sofapaka - Muranga Seal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
2.78 ↓
(2.9) |
2.66 ↑
(2.65) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 5).
- Sofapaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Muranga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Muranga Seal?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muranga Seal won against Sofapaka?
Muranga Seal has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Muranga Seal were as follows:
15.10.2025
Muranga Seal
-
Sofapaka
1:2
14.05.2025
Muranga Seal
-
Sofapaka
2:0
28.11.2024
Sofapaka
-
Muranga Seal
0:1
09.03.2024
Sofapaka
-
Muranga Seal
1:2
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
