Sofapaka vs AFC Leopards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
23.9%
Draw
32.9%
AFC Leopards
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 31.6% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 31.5% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Sofapaka - AFC Leopards Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (3.67)
    2.74
    (2.87)
    2.09
    (2.07)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
    • Sofapaka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leopards is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leopards might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - AFC Leopards were as follows:
    20.09.2025 AFC Leopards - Sofapaka 1:1
    19.02.2025 AFC Leopards - Sofapaka 0:0
    15.12.2024 Sofapaka - AFC Leopards 1:1
    07.04.2024 AFC Leopards - Sofapaka 1:1
    25.11.2023 Sofapaka - AFC Leopards 1:1
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    17.01.2026 Shabana - Sofapaka 1:0
    09.01.2026 Sofapaka - Bidco United 1:1
    17.12.2025 Mathare United - Sofapaka 1:0
    14.12.2025 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Leopards
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia30197446:192764
    2Leopards29167636:221455
    3Police FC291212526:17948
    4Kakamega Homeboyz301211743:311247
    5Shabana29138832:30247
    6Nairobi United29129840:301045
    7KCB291181030:31-141
    8Tusker291251224:27-341
    9Mara Sugar29913727:25240
    10Bandari29815622:20239
    11Muranga291081135:35038
    12Mathare Utd30981328:31-335
    13Posta Rangers297111124:36-1232
    14APS Bomet297101229:33-431
    15Ulinzi Stars29871429:34-531
    16Kariobangi Sharks306121219:30-1130
    17Bidco United304121417:34-1724
    18Sofapaka30391817:39-2218

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League