Notts County vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.081.92
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
520
Shots on target
35
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
25
Passes
70% (230/327)84% (464/554)
Yellow cards
54
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.081.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.882.08
Total shots
520
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
09
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
413
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
02
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1639
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1213
Passes
70% (230/327)84% (464/554)
Long passes
36% (25/69)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
42% (26/62)78% (166/212)
Crosses
21% (3/14)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.55
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
1312
Tackles
56% (9/16)48% (10/21)
Duels won
5968
Clearances
1911
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
2.081.88
Goals prevented
-0.920.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Dobra A. , Markanday D. (A),
  • 19', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 23', Curtis S. 🟨,
  • 31', Swinkels S. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Swinkels S. (Own goal),
  • 42', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Naylor T. , Pearce T. (A),
  • 45', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Platt M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Curtis S. , Donacien J. ,
  • 49', Pearce T. , Duffy D. ,
  • 57', Platt M. , Macari L. ,
  • 58', Tangen H. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 58', Palmer M. , Hall T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Mandeville L. , Braybrooke S. (A),
  • 70', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
  • 76', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 77', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 78', Tsaroulla N. , Jatta A. ,
  • 87', Dobra A. , Stirk R. ,
  • 87', Naylor T. , Owolabi-Belewu M. ,
  • 90', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Dennis M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
43.8%
Draw
27.9%
Chesterfield
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 27.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.2% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Notts County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.04)
    3.34
    (3.36)
    3.3
    (3.4)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0
    15.03.2025 Notts County - Chesterfield 1:2
    12.10.2024 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:2
    13.05.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:3
    11.02.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League