Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
50.6%
Draw
25.9%
Independiente Medellín
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 25.9% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.9% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.85)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    3.98
    (3.96)
    7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
    • Santa Fe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3
    24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1244414:11316
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1126312:14-212
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

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