Result
23/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 50.6% | Draw 25.9% | Independiente Medellín 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 (1.85) |
3.61 (3.61) |
3.98 ↑ (3.96) |
7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
- Santa Fe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Independiente Medellín?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
20.10.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
01.10.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:3
24.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
29.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
24.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )