Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Progreso
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ,
  • 8', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 17', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 27', Prieto A. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Oliva C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', De Los Santos M. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 46', Prieto A. , Carroso H. ,
  • 54', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. , Gomez M. (A),
  • 62', Trasante G. 🟨,
  • 63', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 63', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 74', De Los Santos J. , Mereles E. ,
  • 74', Carroso H. 🟨,
  • 78', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 79', Mereles E. 🟨,
  • 79', Oliva C. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 80', Lopez N. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 80', Lopez F. , Garcia A. ,
  • 85', Boggio L. , Palacios H. ,
  • 85', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Dos Santos A. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
74.8%
Draw
15.8%
Progreso
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.8% 15.4% 10.8%

Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.26
(1.25)
6.05
(6)
10.33
(8.5)
5.8%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • No spectators.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Progreso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    16.02.2025 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 1:5
    29.09.2024 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 0:3
    23.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 0:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol ✔ 15112230:121835
    2Nacional1586125:111427
    3Montevideo City1583428:171127
    4Boston River1568126:101626
    5Cerro Largo1574419:14525
    6Liverpool M1574419:16325
    7CA Cerro1573513:13024
    8Defensor Sp1572613:16-323
    9Danubio1563618:13521
    10Progreso1553717:23-618
    11Racing Montevideo1545614:22-817
    12Juventud154478:13-516
    13River Plate1535712:18-614
    14Miramar1534817:26-913
    15Plaza Colonia1522119:26-178
    16Wanderers1514107:25-187

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