Barracas Central vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.420.40
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
13
Passes
74% (255/346)82% (342/419)
Yellow cards
16
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.24
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
68
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
148
Passes
74% (255/346)82% (342/419)
Long passes
45% (37/82)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
50% (52/103)75% (108/144)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.43
Throw ins
1617
Fouls
814
Tackles
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.240.68
Goals prevented
0.24-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Maroni G. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
  • 18', Porra T. 🟨,
  • 37', Dominguez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Maroni G. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
  • 46', Vallejo L. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
  • 46', Dominguez J. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
  • 46', Morales G. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
  • 56', Compagnucci G. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
  • 56', Franco N. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
  • 63', Candia J. ↓, Duarte M. ↑,
  • 63', Tapia I. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Demartini N. (Own goal),
  • 71', 2 - 1, Gamba L. ⚽, Bruera F. (A),
  • 73', Ham E. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
  • 73', Miloc D. ↓, Guaraz I. A. ↑,
  • 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 89', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ortiz K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ortiz K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
33.3%		Draw
33.2%		Atlético Tucumán
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.9% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 30.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.83 ↑
    (2.42)    		 2.82 ↓
    (3.16)    		 2.8 ↓
    (3.05)    		 6.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 41% – 80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Barracas Central (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Barracas Central has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Tucumán's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético Tucumán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barracas Central has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barracas Central: Mino M. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    29.07.2024 Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán 0:2
    11.02.2024 Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán 2:0
    16.09.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 1:0
    18.03.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 1:1
    23.08.2022 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 4:0
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    11.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺
    01.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 1:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Barracas Central - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Platense - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Rosario Central - Barracas Central 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    11.03.2026 Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi 1:1 ✺
    03.03.2026 Atlético Tucumán - Racing 0:3 ✺
    24.02.2026 Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 4:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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