Dordrecht vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Dordrecht - De Graafschap
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
37.7%
Draw
24.8%
De Graafschap
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 23.6% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 22.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.08)
    3.7
    (3.9)
    2.54
    (2.88)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
    • In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:0
    13.05.2025 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 0:0
    31.01.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    01.11.2024 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 4:1
    05.04.2024 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:1
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0
    12.09.2025 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 3:3
    29.08.2025 FC Oss - Dordrecht 0:3
    23.08.2025 Dordrecht - Jong PSV 1:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jong PSV760115:51018
    2Den Haag651015:51016
    3Cambuur751112:6616
    4Waalwijk732211:8311
    5Dordrecht732210:8211
    6Roda732210:11-111
    7Willem II73228:10-211
    8Den Bosch631215:13210
    9Oss731313:14-110
    10FC Emmen731311:13-210
    11Eindhoven FC73136:10-410
    12Venlo730410:12-29
    13De Graafschap62139:907
    14Jong Utrecht721412:14-27
    15Helmond72148:12-47
    16Almere City620412:1026
    17Jong Ajax712411:14-35
    18Jong AZ71159:13-44
    19Maastricht71153:11-84
    20Vitesse31114:6-2-8

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )