Result
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Dordrecht 37.7% | Draw 24.8% | De Graafschap 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.08) |
3.7 ↓ (3.9) |
2.54 ↓ (2.88) |
5.9% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
- In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?
Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
17.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
13.05.2025
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
0:0
31.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
01.11.2024
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
4:1
05.04.2024
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Jong PSV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Den Haag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Cambuur | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Dordrecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Den Bosch | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Oss | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
10 | FC Emmen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
11 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
12 | Venlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
13 | De Graafschap | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Jong Utrecht | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
15 | Helmond | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
16 | Almere City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
17 | Jong Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Jong AZ | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
19 | Maastricht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )