De Graafschap vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 31
Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.88
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
6	2
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
9	6
Passes
79% (256/323)	73% (264/361)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	1.08
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
2	10
Shots inside the box
11	15
Shots outside the box
3	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
26	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
7	12
Passes
79% (256/323)	73% (264/361)
Long passes
44% (22/50)	30% (15/50)
Passes in final third
72% (64/89)	58% (71/123)
Crosses
4% (1/23)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.72
Throw ins
15	31
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
43% (9/21)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
52	46
Clearances
35	18
Interceptions
26	1
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.08	1.46
Goals prevented
0.08	-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carrillo S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
58', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
58', El Allachi C. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
64', Bischof N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
68', Meerstadt J. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
69', El Kadiri I. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, M'Bemba Y. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Woudenberg L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
76', Bae S. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Kaninda N. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
88', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
90+1', Niemeijer R. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
53.6%

Draw
22.5%

Dordrecht
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

De Graafschap - Dordrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	4.16 ↑ (3.95)	3.88 ↑ (3.22)	6.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Dordrecht?

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
De Graafschap is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dordrecht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?

De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?

Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Dordrecht were as follows:

26.09.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1

17.05.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:0

13.05.2025 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 0:0

31.01.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1

01.11.2024 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 4:1

Latest results of De Graafschap

08.03.2026 De Graafschap - Vitesse 1:4 ✺

27.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺

20.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 1:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Dordrecht

06.03.2026 Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Jong PSV - Dordrecht 1:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

09.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
7	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
8	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
18	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
19	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie