Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Onanuga O. 🟨,
- 38', Sangare I. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rashidov N. ↓, Ahmadov E. ↑,
- 46', Huseynli R. ↓, Pachu ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Ohori R. ⚽,
- 56', Pachu 🟨,
- 66', Aliyev N. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
- 66', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
- 70', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 70', Eduardo Kunde 🟨,
- 71', Seyidov S. 🟨,
- 72', Onanuga O. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 77', Samadov A. 🟨,
- 77', Nabiyev F. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 83', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
36.8% | Draw
29.6% | Gabala
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kapaz - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.65) |
3.08 ↓
(3.49) |
2.71 ↑
(2.36) |
9.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gabala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Gabala?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Kapaz?
Gabala has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Gabala were as follows:
20.09.2025
Gabala
-
Kapaz
3:0
28.04.2024
Gabala
-
Kapaz
0:1
23.02.2024
Kapaz
-
Gabala
2:1
09.12.2023
Gabala
-
Kapaz
0:3
01.10.2023
Kapaz
-
Gabala
0:1
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29:9 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Zira | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Turan Tovuz | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Sumqayit | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | Araz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11:39 | -28 | 9 |
| 11 | Gabala | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Karvan | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12:34 | -22 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
