Result
2:1
15/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 103 | 94 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Rios R. ⚽,
- 44', Landazuri A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ibarra R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 46', Arroyo K. ↓, Lerma Soliz J. A. ↑,
- 61', Endrick ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Schunke R. (A),
- 70', Estevao ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 70', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
- 77', Hoyos M. ↓, Bolanos A. ↑,
- 77', Caicedo B. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 82', Rios R. ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 82', Lazaro ↓, Luan ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
69.9% | Draw
19.2% | Independiente del Valle
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
4.89 ↑
(4.1) |
8.72 ↑
(8) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Independiente del Valle?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Palmeiras?
Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
24.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Palmeiras
2:3
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
