Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.27
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Long passes
51% (41/80)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)79% (112/141)
Crosses
33% (3/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.37
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1714
Tackles
48% (13/27)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.270.43
Goals prevented
0.27-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pita S. ,
  • 14', Mangarov D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Cohen Y. , Mangarov D. (A), Louis S. (A2)
  • 45+4', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Wynne R. 🟨,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 69', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 69', Garvanian M. , Robertson T. ,
  • 74', Majub T. B. 🟨,
  • 77', Pita S. , Kovac A. ,
  • 79', Cohen Y. , Rimpel X. ,
  • 79', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 90+4', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Majub T. B. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangarov D. (Pen),
  • 2, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rimpel X. (Pen),
  • 3, Kovac A. (Pen),
  • 4, Watson C. (Pen),
  • 4, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Tablante M. (Pen),
  • 6, Turner G. (Pen),
  • 6, Wesseh G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
36.8%
Draw
27.3%
Atlanta United II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 24.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 24% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chattanooga's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2)
    3.61
    (3.68)
    2.74
    (3.05)
    1.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 0:1
    30.03.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 2:3
    01.09.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:4
    25.05.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:2
    24.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 1:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)