Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.27
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Long passes
51% (41/80)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)79% (112/141)
Crosses
33% (3/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.37
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1714
Tackles
48% (13/27)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.270.43
Goals prevented
0.27-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pita S. ,
  • 14', Mangarov D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Cohen Y. , Mangarov D. (A), Louis S. (A2)
  • 45+4', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Wynne R. 🟨,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 69', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 69', Garvanian M. , Robertson T. ,
  • 74', Majub T. B. 🟨,
  • 77', Pita S. , Kovac A. ,
  • 79', Cohen Y. , Rimpel X. ,
  • 79', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 90+4', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Majub T. B. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangarov D. (Pen),
  • 2, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rimpel X. (Pen),
  • 3, Kovac A. (Pen),
  • 4, Watson C. (Pen),
  • 4, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Tablante M. (Pen),
  • 6, Turner G. (Pen),
  • 6, Wesseh G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
36.8%
Draw
27.3%
Atlanta United II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 24.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 24% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chattanooga's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2)
    3.61
    (3.68)
    2.74
    (3.05)
    1.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 0:1
    30.03.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 2:3
    01.09.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:4
    25.05.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:2
    24.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 1:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)