Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.27
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
80% (273/340)91% (480/528)
Long passes
51% (41/80)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)79% (112/141)
Crosses
33% (3/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.37
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1714
Tackles
48% (13/27)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.270.43
Goals prevented
0.27-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pita S. ,
  • 14', Mangarov D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Cohen Y. , Mangarov D. (A), Louis S. (A2)
  • 45+4', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Wynne R. 🟨,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 69', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 69', Garvanian M. , Robertson T. ,
  • 74', Majub T. B. 🟨,
  • 77', Pita S. , Kovac A. ,
  • 79', Cohen Y. , Rimpel X. ,
  • 79', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 90+4', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Majub T. B. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangarov D. (Pen),
  • 2, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rimpel X. (Pen),
  • 3, Kovac A. (Pen),
  • 4, Watson C. (Pen),
  • 4, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Tablante M. (Pen),
  • 6, Turner G. (Pen),
  • 6, Wesseh G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
36.8%
Draw
27.3%
Atlanta United II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 24.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 24% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chattanooga's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2)
    3.61
    (3.68)
    2.74
    (3.05)
    1.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 0:1
    30.03.2025 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 2:3
    01.09.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:4
    25.05.2024 Chattanooga - Atlanta United II 3:2
    24.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Chattanooga 1:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)