Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/304) | 75% (276/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/304) | 75% (276/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (58/84) | 53% (70/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Veips R. 🟨,
- 52', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 61', Bekili P. 🟨,
- 69', Becers R. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 70', Dzerins R. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Krautmanis J. ⚽, Kluskins G. (A),
- 83', Boroduska E. ↓, Kasica D. ↑,
- 86', Promise V. ↓, Susts M. ↑,
- 90+3', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Leitans G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
56.5% | Draw
23.1% | Grobiņa
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Jelgava - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.64) |
3.95 ↓
(4.1) |
4.5 ↑
(4.14) |
9.5%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Grobiņa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3.
- Recent performances by Jelgava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grobiņa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Grobiņa?
Jelgava has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Jelgava?
Grobiņa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Grobiņa were as follows:
29.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
1:0
06.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
2:0
23.08.2024
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
2:3
16.06.2024
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
4:2
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
