Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Varela E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Copelotti M. (Pen),
- 35', Viera M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Viera M. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
- 57', Sosa F. 🟨,
- 58', Sosa F. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
- 58', Copelotti M. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
- 61', Cerro F. ↓, Zeballos J. ↑,
- 61', Acosta M. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
- 61', Suarez P. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 65', Maldonado L. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
- 76', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 76', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
- 77', Zeballos J. 🟨,
- 85', Rivero R. ↓, Serres F. ↑,
- 85', Veglio B. ↓, Queiroz N. ↑,
- 88', Teuten A. 🟨,
- 88', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montevideo Wanderers
47% | Draw
28.2% | Progreso
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.04) |
3.27 ↓
(3.3) |
3.74 ↑
(3.25) |
7.9%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3.
- Wanderers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Progreso?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso were as follows:
10.11.2024
Progreso
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:0
14.07.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
4:2
04.05.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
2:0
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Boston River | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventud | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Miramar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Danubio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | CA Cerro | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:10 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
