New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers
Result
18:28
21/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
37
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
10050
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
149199
Metres Run With Ball
14721967

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 8)
  • 17', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 18', Alamoti P. (Missed Conversion),
  • 21', Ford J. (Try),
  • 22', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Sorensen S. (Try),
  • 39', Alamoti P. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 20)
  • 47', Laban J. (Try),
  • 49', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Sorensen S. (Try),
  • 57', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Talagi B. (Try),
  • 65', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Alamoti P. (Try),
  • 72', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Alamoti P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 79', Graham-Taufa M. (Try),
  • 80', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
76.3%
Draw
4%
Penrith Panthers
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 3.5% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 3.6% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand Warriors's performance.
  • Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penrith Panthers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand Warriors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penrith Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.31)
    22
    (26)
    4.68
    (3.52)
    9.2%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, New Zealand has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New Zealand is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 314:520. (average 15.7:26).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 188:231. (average 18.8:23.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    18.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers 22:20
    09.09.2023 Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors 32:6
    06.05.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers 6:18
    26.08.2022 Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors 46:12
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )