Result
3:0
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 85% (408/480) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 85% (408/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (142/180) | 75% (74/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Zaro G. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Guidi M. 🟨,
- 53', Ciofi A. 🟨,
- 55', Piacentini M. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Meroni A. ⚽, Castellini A. (A),
- 60', Vrioni G. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
- 62', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 62', Dembele A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 63', Corazza T. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 63', Ciervo R. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 69', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 69', Buso N. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 75', Francesconi M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 75', Piacentini M. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 82', Marras T. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 82', Trimboli S. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),
Chances of winning
Mantova
39.3% | Draw
29% | Cesena
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Mantova - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.57) |
3.2 ↓
(3.33) |
2.97 ↑
(2.57) |
7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.
- Recent performances by Mantova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cesena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
Ruocco F.
(Inactive)
Zuccon F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Frabotta G.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Injury)
Mangraviti M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Cesena?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Mantova?
Cesena has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Cesena were as follows:
13.12.2025
Cesena
-
Mantova
3:2
02.08.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
01.05.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
3:0
29.09.2024
Cesena
-
Mantova
4:2
05.05.2024
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
