Result
1:3
03/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/474) | 84% (380/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/474) | 84% (380/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (122/154) | 80% (93/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/36) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', Frabotta G. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Azzi P. ⚽, Pessina M. (A),
- 33', Ciofi A. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Cutrone P. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Azzi P. 🟨,
- 60', Cerri A. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 60', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 62', Hernani ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 62', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 66', Cutrone P. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 66', Caso G. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 70', Azzi P. 🟨,
- 73', Shpendi C. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 73', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 3, Petagna A. ⚽, Bakoune A. (A),
- 80', Zaro G. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
- 80', Francesconi M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 88', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Frabotta G. ⚽, Ciervo R. (A),
Chances of winning
Cesena
29.8% | Draw
29.5% | Monza
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Cesena - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.46) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
2.3 ↑
(2.1) |
6.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cesena - Monza?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Monza will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 42% – 87.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Monza (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cesena (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 25%). Monza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Recent form of Cesena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Monza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cesena: Arrigoni T.
(Inactive)
Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Inactive)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Tosku F.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Monza?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Cesena?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Monza were as follows:
23.11.2025
Monza
-
Cesena
1:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
