Cesena vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena).

Serie B - Round 26
Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.77	1.25
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
8	6
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
7	0
Passes
82% (368/447)	83% (363/437)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.77	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.88	2.89
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
16	7
Shots outside the box
6	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
37	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
15	11
Passes
82% (368/447)	83% (363/437)
Long passes
51% (32/63)	49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
71% (89/126)	66% (63/96)
Crosses
20% (6/30)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.89
Throw ins
18	17
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
60% (9/15)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
47	40
Clearances
16	34
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
2.89	2.88
Goals prevented
-0.11	0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Shpendi C. ⚽, Frabotta G. (A),
15', Bellemo A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽, Bellemo A. (A),
23', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Berti T. ⚽,
57', Skjellerup L. 🟨,
58', Bellemo A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
58', Ruggero M. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
64', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
65', Skjellerup L. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Aurelio G. ⚽, Sernicola L. (A),
69', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
72', Magni V. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
72', Cerri A. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Artistico G. ⚽,
82', Berti T. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
84', Adamo E. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cesena
43.9%

Draw
29.6%

Spezia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Cesena - Spezia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.49 ↑ (3.27)	6.5% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cesena - Spezia?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cesena (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3.
Cesena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spezia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Spezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cesena will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cesena: Shpendi C. (Inactive) Zaro G. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury) Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Di Serio G. (Inactive) Lapadula G. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Spezia?

Cesena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Cesena?

Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Spezia were as follows:

18.10.2025 Spezia - Cesena 1:2

15.03.2025 Cesena - Spezia 0:0

01.09.2024 Spezia - Cesena 2:1

Latest results of Cesena

14.02.2026 Cesena - Venezia 0:4 ✺

10.02.2026 Virtus Entella - Cesena 3:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Cesena - Pescara 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Avellino - Cesena 3:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Cesena - Bari 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Spezia

15.02.2026 Spezia - Frosinone 0:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Bari - Spezia 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Spezia - Virtus Entella 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Sampdoria - Spezia 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Spezia - Avellino 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	34	21	9	4	68:29	39	72
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	34	20	9	5	53:27	26	69
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	33	14	12	7	51:40	11	54
6	Modena	33	14	9	10	44:29	15	51
7	Juve Stabia	34	11	15	8	41:41	0	48
8	Cesena	34	12	8	14	42:50	-8	44
9	Carrarese	34	10	12	12	44:45	-1	42
10	Sudtirol	34	8	16	10	36:37	-1	40
11	Mantova	34	11	7	16	39:48	-9	40
12	Sampdoria	34	10	10	14	34:44	-10	40
13	Avellino	34	10	10	14	38:54	-16	40
14	Padova	34	9	10	15	33:45	-12	37
15	Empoli	34	8	12	14	43:49	-6	36
16	Entella	34	8	11	15	32:47	-15	35
17	Bari	34	8	10	16	33:53	-20	34
18	Reggiana	34	8	9	17	33:52	-19	33
19	Pescara	34	7	11	16	47:61	-14	32
20	Spezia	34	7	9	18	32:51	-19	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation