Derby County U21 vs Sunderland U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Watson D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
617
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Jones H. ,
  • 45+3', Jones J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Wahling J. , Hodges D. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 54', Geragusian F. 🟨,
  • 55', Robinson K. 🟨,
  • 62', Gordon I. , Gill T. ,
  • 63', Richards J. , Osong J. ,
  • 67', Jones H. , Hunt L. ,
  • 71', Whittaker J. 🟨,
  • 80', Geragusian F. , Campbell L. ,
  • 85', Hamilton-Forsyth C. , Burns M. ,
  • 86', Proctor T. , Bowman A. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Osong J. ,
  • 89', Green I. , Stokes G. ,
  • 90+3', Neill M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+6', Stokes G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Banks L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County U21
31.7%
Draw
23.2%
Sunderland U21
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 21.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 21% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
  • Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.28)
    3.91
    (4.37)
    2.02
    (2.44)
    10.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 28 and 24).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Derby U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.5:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Sunderland U21 were as follows:
    07.10.2024 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 6:0
    25.09.2023 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 3:1
    20.02.2023 Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 20141552:252743
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 20134343:261743
    3Manchester City U21 ✔ 20131659:213840
    4Fulham U21 ✔ 20115448:321638
    5Ipswich U21 ✔ 19122541:37438
    6Southampton U21 ✔ 20106436:29736
    7Liverpool U21 ✔ 20112749:361335
    8Tottenham U21 ✔ 19102740:32832
    9Leicester U212094748:42631
    10Crystal Palace U212094736:31531
    11Brighton U21 ✔ 2086638:251330
    12West Ham U21 ✔ 2086644:35930
    13Arsenal U21 ✔ 2085728:33-529
    14Sunderland U212084841:40128
    15Aston Villa U211984731:35-428
    16Middlesbrough U212076737:28927
    17Nottingham U2120821023:23026
    18Reading U212074929:36-725
    19Stoke City U211974829:41-1225
    20Newcastle Utd U212066830:35-524
    21Wolves U212065930:45-1523
    22Everton U211964925:32-722
    23Norwich U2120551032:42-1020
    24Derby U2120551026:44-1820
    25Leeds U2120531228:40-1218
    26West Brom U2120531226:41-1518
    27Birmingham U2120451126:52-2617
    28Blackburn U2119421327:44-1714
    29Burnley U2120341322:42-2013

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fulham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ipswich U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Liverpool U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tottenham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Brighton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    West Ham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Arsenal U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)