Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (506/599) | 70% (207/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (506/599) | 70% (207/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (114/163) | 46% (24/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Bragantini D. ⚽, Benaissa-Yahia F. (A),
- 26', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 38', Correia O. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Buso N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Correia O. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 46', Matheu P. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
- 46', Carissoni L. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
- 47', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
- 52', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 53', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Goncalves T. ↑,
- 58', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 58', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 58', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 62', Radaelli N. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 62', Kouda R. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 66', Cacciamani A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
- 73', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 73', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 83', Mannini M. 🟨,
- 86', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Mosti N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
37.5% | Draw
29.8% | Juve Stabia
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Mantova - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.59) |
3.15 ↓
(3.18) |
2.85 ↑
(2.64) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent form of Mantova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Juve Stabia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
Ruocco F.
(Inactive)
Zuccon F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Inactive)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Confente A.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Varnier M.
(Inactive)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Juve Stabia?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Mantova?
Juve Stabia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Juve Stabia were as follows:
30.09.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Mantova
2:1
08.03.2025
Mantova
-
Juve Stabia
1:1
28.08.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Mantova
1:0
11.05.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Mantova
1:4
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
