Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/459) | 68% (175/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/459) | 68% (175/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 28% (20/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/138) | 54% (48/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Zanimacchia L. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
- 20', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 2, Zampano F. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
- 41', Ambrosino G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Okoro A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 47', Bellich M. 🟨,
- 55', Gabrielloni A. 🟨,
- 57', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 64', Maistro F. ↓, Matheu P. ↑,
- 64', Ambrosino G. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 64', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 65', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 74', Cacciamani A. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Mosti N. ⚽, Burnete R. (A),
- 75', Massolin Y. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
- 79', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 81', Gabrielloni A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Defrel G. ↓, Adorni D. ↑,
- 87', Zanimacchia L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mosti N. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
- 90+4', Carissoni L. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 90+7', Diakite S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycbwnrtj
Chances of winning
Juve Stabia
29.3% | Draw
31.7% | Modena
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Juve Stabia - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
2.94 ↓
(2.98) |
2.41 ↓
(2.45) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Juve Stabia - Modena?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Juve Stabia (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 20%). Modena (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Diakite S.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Pierobon C.
(Inactive)
Varnier M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Modena?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Juve Stabia?
Modena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juve Stabia - Modena were as follows:
02.11.2025
Modena
-
Juve Stabia
3:0
15.03.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Modena
2:1
21.09.2024
Modena
-
Juve Stabia
3:0
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
