Result
5:4
27/01/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 47 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (465/530) | 69% (166/241) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 83% (192/231) | 50% (28/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 42% (5/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 8', Calvo F. 🟥,
- 15', 0 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Aboubakar V. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Sertel C. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 30', 1 - 2, Hajradinovic H. ⚽, Claudio Winck (A),
- 32', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 36', Kardesler E. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 2, Kilama G. (Own goal),
- 45+6', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 45+11', 2 - 3, Aboubakar V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 54', 3 - 3, Kara A. ⚽,
- 55', Rivas R. 🟨,
- 58', 3 - 4, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 61', Ozcan Y. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 4, Fall M. ⚽, Claudio Winck (A),
- 70', Saglam G. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
- 70', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 76', 5 - 4, Claudio Winck ⚽,
- 77', Rivas R. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
- 77', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
- 77', Fernandes J. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
- 78', Barak A. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 78', Claudio Winck ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 88', Kara A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
53.6% | Draw
24% | Hatayspor
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.7) |
3.91 ↓
(4) |
4.25 ↓
(4.5) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 65.9% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
- Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Hatayspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Kasımpaşa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L.
(Yellow Cards)
Okoronkwo J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Omeruo K.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Hatayspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor were as follows:
19.08.2024
Hatayspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:1
20.01.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Hatayspor
3:0
19.08.2023
Hatayspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:0
05.02.2023
Hatayspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:0
28.08.2022
Kasımpaşa
-
Hatayspor
1:0
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:2 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gaziantep | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
