Orlando City vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Orlando City - New York City
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.50
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Long passes
38% (18/47)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
78% (113/144)74% (87/117)
Crosses
31% (4/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.07
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
1110
Tackles
100% (8/8)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.502.04
Goals prevented
0.501.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
  • 46', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
  • 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
  • 70', Moralez M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
  • 74', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
  • 74', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
  • 84', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 85', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
  • 86', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
54.9%		Draw
24.1%		New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Orlando City - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.93 ↓
    (4.12)    		 4.5 ↓
    (4.91)    		 5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1
    20.07.2024 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    28.06.2024 New York City - Orlando City 4:2
    20.09.2023 New York City - Orlando City 2:0
    17.05.2023 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    12.07.2025 Orlando City - CF Montréal 1:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺
    14.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Orlando City 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of New York City
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0 ✺
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1 ✺
    12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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