Result
22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Pachuca
24.9% | Draw
26.2% | Toluca
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Pachuca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Pachuca aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Pachuca - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↓
(3.8) |
3.56 ↓
(3.72) |
1.92 ↑
(1.9) |
7.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Toluca?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Pachuca?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Toluca were as follows:
26.10.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
2:2
29.03.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
3:2
17.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:2
30.03.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:3
03.09.2023
Toluca
-
Pachuca
5:0
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
