Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 32
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (433/527) | 76% (267/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (433/527) | 76% (267/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (107/150) | 64% (72/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Turnbull D. ⚽, Colwill J. (A),
- 13', Turnbull D. 🟨,
- 18', Bagan J. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 2 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 42', 3 - 1, Ng P. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
- 45+1', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kodua G. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 55', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 64', Trott N. 🟨,
- 66', Johnson J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 66', Cole D. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 69', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 69', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 69', Colwill J. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 73', Richards J. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 76', Palmer K. 🟨,
- 89', Robertson A. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
54.4% | Draw
24.3% | Luton Town
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
Cardiff City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.92) |
3.87 ↑
(3.42) |
4.41 ↑
(3.69) |
5.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.
- Cardiff is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Lawlor D.
(Inactive)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
Wintle R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Luton Town?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Cardiff City?
Luton Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Luton Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
0:1
11.03.2025
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
06.11.2024
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
31.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
30.08.2022
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
