New York Red Bulls vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.48
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
813
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Long passes
33% (20/60)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)66% (81/123)
Crosses
15% (2/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.35
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
138
Tackles
81% (17/21)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5855
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.481.88
Goals prevented
0.480.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Owusu P. , Graham-Roache O. ,
  • 46', Piette S. , Saliba N. ,
  • 55', Saliba N. 🟨,
  • 58', Guboglo Y. , Pearce T. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Eile N. , Valencia O. (A),
  • 71', Clark C. , Yankov D. ,
  • 78', Harper C. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 78', Loturi V. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 83', Forsberg E. , Parker T. ,
  • 85', Valencia O. 🟨,
  • 87', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 88', Carballo F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carmona W. , Edwards R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
53.7%
Draw
26%
CF Montréal
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.6% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.59)
    3.66
    (4)
    4.65
    (5.9)
    5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Hamstring Injury) Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Chest Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Vilsaint J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 1:0
    19.06.2024 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:2
    20.05.2023 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 2:1
    22.04.2023 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2022 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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