Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 87% (413/475) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 87% (413/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 59% (16/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (67/92) | 81% (158/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 38% (11/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Masanka Bungi J. 🟨,
- 31', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Masanka Bungi J. ↓, Dos Santos M. ↑,
- 61', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 61', Bucha P. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
- 62', Berggren G. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
- 62', Sofo M. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 73', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
- 78', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 79', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
- 79', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 85', Donkor R. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
- 89', Smith K. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
54.4% | Draw
22.1% | New York Red Bulls
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4%)
Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.98) |
4.29 ↑
(3.68) |
4.03 ↑
(3.25) |
5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 50%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Hagglund N.
(Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Hadebe T.
(Injury)
Robinson M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York Red Bulls?
Cincinnati has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Cincinnati?
New York Red Bulls has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
04.04.2026
New York Red Bulls
-
Cincinnati
4:2
04.10.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
Cincinnati
0:1
22.02.2025
Cincinnati
-
New York Red Bulls
1:0
20.07.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Cincinnati
3:1
06.04.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York Red Bulls
1:2
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
