Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.68
Total shots
137
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3312
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (474/549)79% (319/402)
Long passes
49% (20/41)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
81% (143/177)62% (68/110)
Crosses
14% (2/14)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.76
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
811
Tackles
76% (16/21)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.682.03
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Berggren G. (A2)
  • 15', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Herrera A. , Lappalainen L. (A), Arfsten M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lappalainen L. , Gazdag D. ,
  • 59', Edwards R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 59', Gjengaar D. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 61', Russell-Rowe J. , Habroune T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Gazdag D. ,
  • 70', Nealis D. 🟨,
  • 74', Nealis D. , Duncan K. ,
  • 74', Valencia O. , Hall J. ,
  • 74', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 82', Chambost D. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Aliyu I. ,
  • 89', Moreira S. , Ruvalcaba C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
61.3%
Draw
22.3%
New York Red Bulls
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 20.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.58)
    4.3
    (4.2)
    5.8
    (5.43)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Columbus (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Columbus is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Ankle Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Eile N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0
    03.11.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 3:2
    29.10.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    19.10.2024 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 2:3
    16.03.2024 Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls 3:0
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)