Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/407) | 75% (214/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.20 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.15 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (338/407) | 75% (214/284) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (35/64) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (67/101) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (6/18) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
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| 63 | 36 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.74 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.54 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Cooper-Love J. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Offerhaus G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Najah A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 46', Rossen N. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, van Gilst T. ⚽, Marcal-Madivadua W. (A),
- 63', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
- 73', Hardeveld J. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
- 73', Hetli S. ↓, Douiri A. ↑,
- 75', van Gilst T. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
- 79', Fortes J. ↓, Besselink R. ↑,
- 81', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 87', Douiri A. 🟨,
- 88', Owusu T. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
- 89', Marcal-Madivadua W. ↓, Colyn S. ↑,
- 89', Niemeijer R. ↓, El Jebli Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap 41.1% | Draw 25.4% | Telstar 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
De Graafschap - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (2.13) |
3.69 ↓ (3.78) |
2.8 ↓ (3.09) |
6.7% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Telstar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.
- De Graafschap has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Telstar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:23. (average 2.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Telstar?
De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against De Graafschap?
Telstar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Telstar were as follows:
12.10.2024
Telstar
-
De Graafschap
2:2
12.04.2024
De Graafschap
-
Telstar
5:1
10.11.2023
Telstar
-
De Graafschap
1:2
03.02.2023
De Graafschap
-
Telstar
0:1
01.09.2022
Telstar
-
De Graafschap
0:1
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )