Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 31
Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.68	3.48
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
2	9
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
7	8
Passes
69% (220/321)	52% (128/247)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.68	3.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.50	4.66
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
2	9
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
6	6
Shots inside the box
6	15
Shots outside the box
8	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
7	8
Touches in opposition box
11	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
12	4
Passes
69% (220/321)	52% (128/247)
Long passes
41% (30/74)	25% (21/83)
Passes in final third
61% (59/97)	39% (39/100)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	1.26
Throw ins
39	31
Fouls
4	12
Tackles
41% (7/17)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
76	57
Clearances
46	38
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	0
xGOT faced
4.66	0.50
Goals prevented
1.66	-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Offord L. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Nelson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Bickerstaff J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
60', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
61', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
72', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
72', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
73', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
73', Young L. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
81', Thomas J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
84', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
85', Mellish J. 🟨,
87', 2 - 3, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Deeming C. (A),
89', Kelly L. 🟨,
90+5', Nurse G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
20.8%

Draw
24.8%

Milton Keynes Dons
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.8%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.27)	3.75 ↑ (3.57)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	7% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
Cheltenham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
MK Dons is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury) King T. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cheltenham Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

16.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 5:0

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1

16.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 3:2

15.04.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 2:2

29.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

31.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Postponed ✺

24.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Leicester City 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

31.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town 5:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

09.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League