Sumgayit vs Turan Tovuz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz
Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
04
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
35
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Ozobic F. , Sadykhov R. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Jo Batista ,
  • 37', Murata M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', Souza Alex 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Souza Alex ,
  • 64', Murata M. , Kehat R. ,
  • 64', Abdullazada S. , Rustamli R. ,
  • 72', Souza Alex , Guseynov A. ,
  • 72', Ramalingom A. (Pen),
  • 76', Kehat R. 🟨,
  • 79', Vasquez R. , Ninkovic N. ,
  • 79', Jo Batista , Nacafov K. ,
  • 81', Jankovic A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Guseynov A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sumgayit
18.1%
Draw
29.9%
Turan Tovuz
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 31.3% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 30% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumgayit's form might have worsened.
  • Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turan Tovuz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumgayit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turan Tovuz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.39
    (3.41)
    3.27
    (2.96)
    1.88
    (2.24)
    2.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Turan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    20.10.2024 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 2:4
    11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit 1:0
    19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit 1:4
    18.02.2024 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 0:0
    Latest results of Sumgayit
    28.09.2025 Sabah - Sumgayit 1:1
    21.09.2025 Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    13.09.2025 İmişli - Sumgayit 1:0
    29.08.2025 Sumgayit - Shamakhi 1:1
    22.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit 0:1
    Latest results of Turan Tovuz
    28.09.2025 Turan Tovuz - Kapaz 3:0
    20.09.2025 Sabah - Turan Tovuz 2:0
    13.09.2025 Turan Tovuz - Gabala 1:0
    29.08.2025 Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turan Tovuz960313:7618
    2Qarabag751113:31016
    3Zira944115:10516
    4Araz944114:13116
    5Sabah Baku843112:5715
    6Sumqayit942313:9414
    7Imisli FK933310:9112
    8Neftci Baku81617:619
    9Shamakhi823310:11-19
    10Gabala81258:11-35
    11Karvan91266:19-135
    12Kapaz91086:24-183

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