Result
0:2
14/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 657 | 496 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 540 | 393 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 144 | 91 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 78 | 42 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Araujo V. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 64', Welton ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 64', Horigome Y. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
- 72', Sakaiya K. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
- 72', Kikuchi T. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
- 81', Sakamoto I. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 81', Usami T. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽, Kurata S. (A),
- 84', Tezuka K. 🟨,
- 85', Fukuta A. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
- 90+3', Kurokawa K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
30.7% | Draw
26.6% | Gamba Osaka
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.33) |
3.53 ↑
(3.5) |
2.2 ↑
(2.06) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 32% – 80.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2.
- Recent matches Tosu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Gamba Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of home games.
- Gamba Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-30.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Gamba Osaka?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sagan Tosu?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
14.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
2:1
26.08.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
25.02.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
1:1
03.09.2022
Gamba Osaka
-
Sagan Tosu
0:3
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 57 |
| 5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 52 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 21:36 | -15 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
