Result
0:0
06/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (249/319) | 72% (211/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (249/319) | 72% (211/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 29', Castro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Murillo E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 67', Giordana S. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez O. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 68', Moreno V. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 74', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 83', Marimon L. 🟨,
- 84', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 85', Velasquez Y. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 85', Melendez J. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
- 85', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 90', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arias J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arboleda I. 🟥,
- 90+2', Mosquera S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2ammv55x
Chances of winning
Millonarios
44.3% | Draw
30.4% | Independiente Santa Fe
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.78) |
3.06 ↓
(3.4) |
3.71 ↓
(4.76) |
7.2%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Millonarios has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Millonarios?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
19.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
01.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
26.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
22.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
3:2
05.12.2024
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | U. Magdalena | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Once Caldas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
