Independiente Santa Fe vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 17

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.68
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
86% (155/181)82% (164/199)
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.19
Total shots
129
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
24
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
87
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
84
Passes
86% (155/181)82% (164/199)
Long passes
50% (11/22)41% (7/17)
Passes in final third
73% (36/49)75% (45/60)
Crosses
43% (3/7)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.48
Throw-ins
1210
Fouls
48
Tackles
100% (3/3)86% (6/7)
Duels won
1720
Clearances
125
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.190.08
Goals prevented
0.190.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
  • 39', Perlaza E. 🟨,
  • 39', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Perlaza E. , Tamayo S. ,
  • 46', Vega S. 🟨,
  • 49', Mafla C. 🟨,
  • 51', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
  • 65', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟥,
  • 66', Torres D. , Lopez E. ,
  • 67', Castro Espinosa B. D. , Canozales C. ,
  • 75', Mafla C. , Sosa J. ,
  • 76', Murillo E. , Meli M. ,
  • 79', Castro L. , Hurtado J. ,
  • 84', Zapata A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 84', Mosquera E. , Navarro S. ,
  • 90+3', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Olivera E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 0 - 1, Canozales C. , Silva D. (A),
  • 90+8', Canozales C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ynjmhhfj

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
33.8%
Draw
30.5%
Millonarios
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 32.6% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 32.2% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.62)
    3.04
    (2.87)
    2.65
    (2.95)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
    • Santa Fe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millonarios's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0
    19.06.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    01.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios 0:1
    26.03.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0
    22.03.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios 3:2
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1244414:11316
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1126312:14-212
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

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