Venados vs Jaiba Brava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
106
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Guzman W. , Madrid W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Peralta J. , Perez O. ,
  • 46', Perez E. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Escoboza A. , Torres E. (A),
  • 59', Navarrete D. , Acosta C. ,
  • 69', Clemente J. 🟨,
  • 71', Catalan A. 🟨,
  • 73', Guzman W. , Benitez S. ,
  • 73', Catalan A. , Torres Sauri M. ,
  • 77', Pedroza M. , Garza A. ,
  • 80', Calero J. , Lopez C. ,
  • 80', Amador K. , Espinosa E. ,
  • 84', Clemente J. , Rios A. ,
  • 90+1', Escoboza A. , Magana D. ,
  • 90+3', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Dominguez R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Flores S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Venados
35.8%
Draw
26.9%
Jaiba Brava
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 25.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 27.2% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Venados - Jaiba Brava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.28)
    3.46
    (3.57)
    2.5
    (2.75)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Jaiba Brava is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
    • Recent performances by Venados have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jaiba Brava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Venados - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    02.08.2024 Jaiba Brava - Venados 0:0
    Latest results of Venados
    18.10.2025 Atlante - Venados 3:0
    26.09.2025 Correcaminos UAT - Venados 3:6
    13.09.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:0
    Latest results of Jaiba Brava
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)