Result
10/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chaves 46.5% | Draw 28.5% | Leixões 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Chaves - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.13) |
3.24 ↑ (3.12) |
3.7 ↑ (3.55) |
8.1% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.
- Chaves has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leixões is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Leixões?
Chaves has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Chaves?
Leixões has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Leixões were as follows:
16.11.2025
Leixões
-
Chaves
0:1
30.07.2025
Leixões
-
Chaves
0:1
25.01.2025
Leixões
-
Chaves
0:0
18.08.2024
Chaves
-
Leixões
0:0
31.07.2024
Chaves
-
Leixões
3:3
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
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