Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
- 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
- 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 58', Carraca ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,
- 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
- 67', Joao Teixeira ↓, Ktatau ↑,
- 68', Valente R. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
- 68', Paulinho ↓, Neto ↑,
- 78', Werton ↓, Paulite ↑,
- 78', Serif N. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 84', Milovanovic U. ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 85', Tounkara M. ↓, Simoes T. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 88', Bica 🟨,
- 89', Agra S. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
Leixões
29.5% | Draw
30.5% | Chaves
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2%)
Leixões - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(3.11) |
3.06 ↓
(3.13) |
2.34 ↑
(2.26) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
- Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Chaves?
Leixões has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Leixões?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
30.07.2025
Leixões
-
Chaves
0:1
25.01.2025
Leixões
-
Chaves
0:0
18.08.2024
Chaves
-
Leixões
0:0
31.07.2024
Chaves
-
Leixões
3:3
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
