Chaves vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chaves
46.5%
Draw
28.5%
Leixões
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 29.9% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 30.7% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Chaves - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.13)
    3.24
    (3.12)
    3.7
    (3.55)
    8.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.
    • Chaves has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leixões is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Leixões were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Chaves
    03.05.2026 Portimonense - Chaves 3:2
    27.04.2026 Chaves - Oliveirense 2:1
    11.04.2026 Chaves - Torreense 2:0
    06.04.2026 Porto B - Chaves 3:0
    Latest results of Leixões
    01.05.2026 Marítimo - Leixões 3:2
    25.04.2026 Leixões - Portimonense 2:0
    20.04.2026 Porto B - Leixões 0:3
    12.04.2026 Leixões - Oliveirense 2:0
    06.04.2026 Torreense - Leixões 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense321651140:32853
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7FC Porto B321361338:42-445
    8Benfica B3211111043:40344
    9Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    10Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3210101228:36-840
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel321081435:37-238
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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