Ceará vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Flamengo
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3, Sport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.57
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Long passes
56% (32/57)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
49% (33/68)75% (112/149)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.73
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1412
Tackles
64% (9/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.571.66
Goals prevented
0.200.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Marllon 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Plata G. (A),
  • 40', Richardson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Arrascaeta G. , Niguez S. ,
  • 46', Pedro Henrique , Aylon ,
  • 46', Lourenco , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 55', Richardson , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul , Lucas Mugni (A),
  • 72', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
  • 76', Jorginho , Allan ,
  • 76', Bruno Henrique , Juninho ,
  • 83', Matheus Bahia , Nicolas ,
  • 85', Plata G. , Victor Hugo ,
  • 85', Emerson Royal , Varela G. ,
  • 87', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
20.9%
Draw
29.2%
Flamengo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 28.9% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 28.7% 46.6%

Ceará - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.55
(3.79)
3.24
(3.27)
1.91
(2.05)
5.3%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4%93.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Ceará (1.94) (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Thigh Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) Wallace Yan (Yellow Cards) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M. (Rest)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Flamengo - Ceará 1:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    20.07.2025 Internacional RS - Ceará 1:0
    16.07.2025 Ceará - Corinthians 0:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras30205555:262965
    2Flamengo RJ30197459:164364
    3Cruzeiro31179545:222360
    4Mirassol311511552:312156
    5Bahia31157942:35752
    6Botafogo RJ31139941:281348
    7Fluminense311451237:37047
    8Sao Paulo311281135:33244
    9Vasco311261349:43642
    10Corinthians311191134:35-142
    11Gremio311091233:40-739
    12Ceara311081329:29038
    13Atletico-MG309101127:32-537
    14Bragantino311061535:49-1436
    15Internacional31991335:43-836
    16Santos30891331:43-1233
    17Vitoria317101428:47-1931
    18Fortaleza30771628:45-1728
    19Juventude31751924:58-3426
    20Sport Recife302111722:49-2717

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet