Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/429) | 89% (443/500) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/429) | 89% (443/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 62% (26/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (77/97) | 70% (82/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Sadik O. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Versini G. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
- 33', 3 - 0, Versini G. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
- 43', Beusnard S. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bellache Y. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
- 46', Boto K. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
- 67', Gastien J. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
- 68', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 68', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 74', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
- 77', Kalulu J. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 77', Versini G. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Bamba K. ⚽, Baallal A. (A),
Chances of winning
Pau
68.4% | Draw
19% | Clermont
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pau - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.84) |
5.95 ↑
(3.45) |
9.06 ↑
(4.38) |
-7.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- EH +1 - Clermont (10.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Clermont (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Pau (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pau will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Clermont (votes: 2 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 10).
- Pau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Pau is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Lebouath S.
(Inactive)
Messi R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Injury)
Diedhiou F.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
Hunou A.
(Inactive)
Salmier Y.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Clermont?
Pau has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Pau?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
11.04.2025
Pau
-
Clermont
2:2
16.08.2024
Clermont
-
Pau
2:2
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
