Pau vs Clermont: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Pau - Clermont
Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
Pau - Clermont - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.53
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
87% (355/407)87% (343/395)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.53
xG on target (xGOT)
3.491.30
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
50
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2919
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
87% (355/407)87% (343/395)
Long passes
51% (20/39)46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
81% (112/139)69% (60/87)
Crosses
23% (7/30)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.64
Fouls
1413
Tackles
60% (9/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4555
Clearances Total
1743
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
1.303.49
Goals prevented
-0.701.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Saivet H. , Douane M. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Mboup P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Douane M. , Bamba K. (A),
  • 55', Magnin Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Bamba K. , Diedhiou F. ,
  • 67', Kante 🟨,
  • 68', Ackra A. 🟨,
  • 73', Obiang J. , Kalulu J. ,
  • 73', Bangre M. , Diawara K. ,
  • 73', Ngom O. , Chahiri M. ,
  • 74', Ackra A. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 74', Bassouamina M. , Diagouraga T. ,
  • 75', Salmier Y. 🟨,
  • 81', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 82', Diallo B. , Bellache Y. ,
  • 82', Douane M. , Konate C. O. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Mille A. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
47.1%
Draw
26.3%
Clermont
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 26.1% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.1% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Pau - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.86)
    3.58
    (3.57)
    3.52
    (3.95)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: Pau will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Recent matches Pau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Ngom O. (Inactive) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Da Silva D. (Red Card) Gastien J. (Red Card) M'Bahia I. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    Latest results of Clermont
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    14.03.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 0:0
    07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5AC Ajaccio00000:000
    6Amiens00000:000
    7Bastia00000:000
    8Clermont00000:000
    9Guingamp00000:000
    10Montpellier00000:000
    11Reims00000:000
    12Troyes00000:000
    13Laval00000:000
    14Pau FC00000:000
    15Rodez00000:000
    16Annecy00000:000
    17Dunkerque00000:000
    18Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Clermont?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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