Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 11
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/335) | 80% (347/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/335) | 80% (347/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A),
- 33', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 44', Pablo (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bane S. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 46', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 65', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 71', Akinsola T. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 71', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 71', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
- 75', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 75', Fernandes J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 76', Varela G. 🟨,
- 79', Assuncao G. 🟨,
- 80', Semedo R. ↓, Ponck ↑,
- 82', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 85', Nene (Pen),
- 88', 1 - 1, Nene ⚽, Pedro Lima (A),
- 88', Murilo de Souza ↓, Toure T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AVS
18.3% | Draw
26.5% | Gil Vicente
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AVS - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↑
(4.84) |
3.59 ↓
(3.66) |
1.73
(1.73) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Gil Vicente is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AVS: Algobia A.
(Inactive)
Kiki
(Injury)
Santos A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Fernandes J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Gil Vicente?
AVS has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against AVS?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Gil Vicente were as follows:
27.01.2025
AVS
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
16.08.2024
Gil Vicente
-
AVS
4:2
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27:6 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Benfica | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25:7 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Braga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Alverca | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Estoril | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Nacional | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:30 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8:29 | -21 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
