Vitesse vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.79
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
57
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Passes
72% (280/390)73% (282/386)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.782.16
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1513
Passes
72% (280/390)73% (282/386)
Long passes
38% (33/88)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
63% (66/105)50% (52/103)
Crosses
36% (9/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.88
Throw ins
2620
Fouls
1315
Tackles
78% (14/18)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.161.78
Goals prevented
0.16-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Schikora M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Pinto J. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
  • 38', van Zijl B. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', Verheij L. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Matoug N. (A),
  • 61', de Blok L. 🟨,
  • 65', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
  • 65', Schwarz R. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
  • 66', Saddiki D. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
  • 66', Matoug N. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
  • 72', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
  • 75', Verheij L. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
  • 75', Sbai Y. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
  • 86', Bonnah S. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
  • 86', Ouallil Y. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Huth E. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
  • 90', Wehmeyer L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitesse
53.9%		Draw
23.7%		VVV-Venlo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 24.7% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Vitesse - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.74 ↓
    (1.84)    		 3.94 ↑
    (3.75)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.69)    		 7.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Vitesse - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Venlo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vitesse (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Vitesse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vitesse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Hoogewerf D. (Yellow Cards) Steffen M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    31.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 1:2
    12.01.2025 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    16.08.2024 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 0:1
    Latest results of Vitesse
    06.02.2026 FC Oss - Vitesse 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2026 Vitesse - FC Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 ADO Den Haag - Vitesse 0:0 ✺
    23.01.2026 Vitesse - ADO Den Haag 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    07.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven 1:0
    02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

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