Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.641.55
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
178
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Long passes
72% (39/54)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
80% (159/198)72% (99/137)
Crosses
32% (6/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.93
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
811
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.552.64
Goals prevented
0.55-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. , Toye M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Smith K. , Freeman A. ,
  • 58', Toye M. , Salloi D. ,
  • 68', Leibold T. , Radoja N. ,
  • 68', Munoz S. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 71', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 72', Pasalic M. , Angulo I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 78', Spicer T. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 81', Miller J. , Montes A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Atuesta E. , Gerbet J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
65.5%
Draw
18.8%
Sporting Kansas City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.1% 13.8%

Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.44
(1.45)
5.04
(4.5)
6.04
(6.5)
5.7%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Yellow Cards) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Inactive) Thommy E. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5FC CincinnatiBye
    6ByeColumbus Crew
    7Inter MiamiBye
    8ByeNashville SC
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    2CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    3FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    4Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionNew York City
    2FC CincinnatiInter Miami
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2