Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 5
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (192/294) | 77% (355/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (192/294) | 77% (355/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (48/103) | 64% (89/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Guilherme Fernandes 🟨,
- 13', Embarba A. (Pen),
- 14', Monte N. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Marcos Andre ⚽,
- 37', Gui Guedes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gui Guedes ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 56', Alejo I. 🟨,
- 56', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 62', Ndiaye A. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
- 64', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 71', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Arribas S. (Pen),
- 73', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 74', Leo Baptistao ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 76', Marcos Andre ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
- 76', Alejo I. ↓, Trilli ↑,
- 77', Peter Federico 🟨,
- 79', Monte N. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 84', Ponceau J. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
- 84', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
- 90+1', Bonini F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Latasa J. (Pen),
- 90+5', Dzodic S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Latasa J. 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Maroto M. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2s4fxabx
Chances of winning
Valladolid
39% | Draw
33.7% | Almería
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valladolid - Almería Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.35) |
2.99 ↓
(3.48) |
3.82 ↑
(2.85) |
-4.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valladolid - Almería?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 50%). Almería (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Almería (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almería (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.
- Valladolid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M.
(Injury)
Marcos Andre
(Injury)
- There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B.
(Inactive)
Lopy D.
(Red Card)
Monte N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Chumi
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Almería?
Valladolid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Valladolid?
Almería has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Almería were as follows:
28.05.2023
Almería
-
Valladolid
0:0
05.09.2022
Valladolid
-
Almería
1:0
Latest results of Valladolid
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
