Valladolid vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.991.89
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1227
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Long passes
41% (27/66)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
47% (48/103)64% (89/138)
Crosses
19% (5/26)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.63
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
2813
Tackles
60% (9/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4768
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.892.99
Goals prevented
0.89-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Guilherme Fernandes 🟨,
  • 13', Embarba A. (Pen),
  • 14', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Marcos Andre ,
  • 37', Gui Guedes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gui Guedes , Horta A. ,
  • 56', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 56', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
  • 62', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 64', Embarba A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 71', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Arribas S. (Pen),
  • 73', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 74', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 76', Marcos Andre , Latasa J. ,
  • 76', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 77', Peter Federico 🟨,
  • 79', Monte N. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 84', Ponceau J. , Maroto M. ,
  • 84', Meseguer Cavas V. A. , Alani I. ,
  • 90+1', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Latasa J. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Maroto M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4fxabx

Chances of winning


Valladolid
39%
Draw
33.7%
Almería
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.7% 32.7%

Valladolid - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.76
(2.35)
2.99
(3.48)
3.82
(2.85)
-4.1%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valladolid - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.2%84.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Almería (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.
    • Valladolid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Lopy D. (Red Card) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Almería were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Almería - Valladolid 0:0
    05.09.2022 Valladolid - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

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