Result
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Cancún
41.9% | Draw
28.7% | Jaiba Brava
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cancún's performance.Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaiba Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cancún that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaiba Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cancún - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.82) |
3.25 ↑
(3.05) |
3.17 ↑
(2.42) |
7.4%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
- Cancún is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jaiba Brava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Jaiba Brava?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Cancún?
Jaiba Brava has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
30.04.2026
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
2:1
28.02.2026
Cancún
-
Jaiba Brava
1:2
20.09.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
2:1
08.02.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
0:2
24.08.2024
Cancún
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
