Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | AYM Sports | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 26 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 26 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 16 | 8 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Magana D. ↓, Corona N. ↑, 
- 12', Flores S. 🟨, 
- 31', Unjanque J. 🟨, 
- 31', Unjanque J. 🟨, 
- 33', Padilla E. 🟨, 
- 45', Galindo B. 🟨, 
- 45', 1 - 0, Pedroza M. (Pen), 
- 45+11', Ochoa I. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Flores S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑, 
- 46', Uscanga P. ↓, Chavez A. ↑, 
- 46', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑, 
- 49', 2 - 0, Escoboza A. ⚽, 
- 51', Corona N. 🟨, 
- 52', Chavez A. 🟨, 
- 53', Perez E. (Pen), 
- 55', 2 - 1, Zabala L. ⚽, 
- 56', Dominguez R. 🟨, 
- 58', Rodriguez J. (Pen), 
- 59', Garcia D. 🟨, 
- 59', Rodriguez J. 🟨, 
- 63', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑, 
- 69', Rodriguez J. ↓, Trejo C. ↑, 
- 73', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑, 
- 73', Perez E. ↓, Villa R. ↑, 
- 79', Ochoa I. ↓, Campos K. ↑, 
- 87', Zabala L. ↓, Melendre F. ↑, 
- 90+5', Garcia E. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Jaiba Brava 41.6%
 | Draw 30.1%
 | Cancún 28.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Jaiba Brava - Cancún Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.25 ↑ (2.09)
 | 3.11 ↓ (3.15)
 | 3.32 ↓ (3.49)
 | 6.8% (8.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Jaiba Brava is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cancún is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jaiba Brava could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Cancún?
                    
                    
                        
                            Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Jaiba Brava?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cancún has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Cancún were as follows:
                                                        
                                08.02.2025 
                                Jaiba Brava 
                                - 
                                Cancún 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.08.2024 
                                Cancún 
                                - 
                                Jaiba Brava 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Jaiba Brava                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 | 
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 | 
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 | 
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 | 
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 | 
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 | 
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 | 
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 | 
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 | 
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | 
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | 
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 | 
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)