Result
21/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
30.7% | Draw
30.7% | Cerro Porteño
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)The ML Model estimate for Libertad Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.98) |
3.02 ↓
(3.26) |
2.4 ↑
(2.34) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
- Recent performances by Libertad have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
24.01.2026
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
23.11.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
31.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
