Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
58.8%
Draw
24.2%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 22.6% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 18.5% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.52)
    3.84
    (4.14)
    5.39
    (5.88)
    8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 12).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Libertad has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo were as follows:
    02.03.2026 Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion 0:7
    20.09.2023 Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion 1:2
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion17123228:121639
    2Cerro Porteno17104326:141234
    3Ameliano1878322:15729
    4Nacional Asuncion1878325:19629
    5Sportivo Trinidense1868423:18526
    6Guarani1867525:20525
    7Libertad Asuncion1873825:22324
    8Recoleta1864827:24322
    9Rubio Nu1863914:21-721
    10Sp. Luqueno18531021:28-718
    112 de Mayo1836914:33-1915
    12San Lorenzo18151212:36-248

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